How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portsmouth, at 44.0%. The other outcomes represent 56.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44% · Draw: 24.4% · Away win: 31.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Portsmouth 1788; Swansea 1816. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:45
Portsmouth
Elo 1788
vs
Swansea
Elo 1816
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-29
Elo rating comparison
Portsmouth1788
Swansea1816
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Portsmouth
—Draws
—Swansea
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
37%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.