How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lincoln, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.5% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 38.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Watford 1649; Lincoln 1843. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:45
Watford
Elo 1649
vs
Lincoln
Elo 1843
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-194
Elo rating comparison
Watford1649
Lincoln1843
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Watford
—Draws
—Lincoln
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
29%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
41%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.