How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Charlton, at 35.9%. The other outcomes represent 64.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 29.3% · Away win: 34.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Charlton 1713; Bolton 1818. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:45
Charlton
Elo 1713
vs
Bolton
Elo 1818
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-105
Elo rating comparison
Charlton1713
Bolton1818
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Charlton
—Draws
—Bolton
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
29%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
43%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.