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Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Birmingham, at 46.0%. The other outcomes represent 54.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 28.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Birmingham 1881; Millwall 1827. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 20:00
Birmingham
Elo 1881
vs
Millwall
Elo 1827
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+54
Elo rating comparison
Birmingham1881
Millwall1827
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Birmingham
—Draws
—Millwall
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
41%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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