How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Usm El Harrach, at 71.7%. The other outcomes represent 28.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.7% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 10.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Usm El Harrach 1722; El Bayadh 1565. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Usm El Harrach
Elo 1722
0
-
0
El Bayadh
Elo 1565
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+157
Elo rating comparison
Usm El Harrach1722
El Bayadh1565
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Usm El Harrach
—Draws
—El Bayadh
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
WRONG
Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
39%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.