How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hussein Dey, at 50.4%. The other outcomes represent 49.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.4% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 22%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hussein Dey 1541; RC Arba 1506. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Hussein Dey
Elo 1541
1
-
0
RC Arba
Elo 1506
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+36
Elo rating comparison
Hussein Dey1541
RC Arba1506
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hussein Dey
—Draws
—RC Arba
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
@ 1.27
Draw
28%
@ 4.57
Away
22%
@ 10.08
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 2.55
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.04
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 3.24
No
49%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
@ 1.76
Draw
44%
@ 2.28
Away
21%
@ 8.93
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.37
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.28
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.95
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.