How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is MO Bejaia, at 55.3%. The other outcomes represent 44.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.3% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 20.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: MO Bejaia 1675; Paradou AC 1647. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
MO Bejaia
Elo 1675
2
-
1
Paradou AC
Elo 1647
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+28
Elo rating comparison
MO Bejaia1675
Paradou AC1647
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—MO Bejaia
—Draws
—Paradou AC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
@ 1.80
Draw
25%
@ 3.04
Away
20%
@ 4.44
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.14
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
@ 2.51
Draw
43%
@ 1.88
Away
17%
@ 5.30
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.53
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.52
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 2.55
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.