How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CFFEB, at 44.5%. The other outcomes represent 55.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.5% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 28%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CFFEB 1565; ASFA-Yennenga 1524. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:30
CFFEB
Elo 1565
1
-
1
ASFA-Yennenga
Elo 1524
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+41
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
CFFEB1565
ASFA-Yennenga1524
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0CFFEB
0Draws
2ASFA-Yennenga
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
28%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
47%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.