How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FocuSport, at 57.6%. The other outcomes represent 42.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.6% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 19.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FocuSport 1529; Salitas 1467. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:30
FocuSport
Elo 1529
0
-
1
Salitas
Elo 1467
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+61
Elo rating comparison
FocuSport1529
Salitas1467
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FocuSport
—Draws
—Salitas
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
23%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
34%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.