How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Millonarios, at 38.4%. The other outcomes represent 61.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.4% · Draw: 29.3% · Away win: 32.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Millonarios 1720; America de Cali 1773. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 01:10
Millonarios
Elo 1720
vs
America de Cali
Elo 1773
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-53
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Millonarios1720
America de Cali1773
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Millonarios
0Draws
1America de Cali
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
29%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
49%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.