How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Musongati, at 71.1%. The other outcomes represent 28.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.1% · Draw: 20.1% · Away win: 8.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Musongati 1706; Young Star 1438. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue A · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 13:00
Musongati
Elo 1706
vs
Young Star
Elo 1438
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+267
Elo rating comparison
Musongati1706
Young Star1438
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Musongati
—Draws
—Young Star
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
Home
71%
Draw
20%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
37%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.