How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mogren, at 55.2%. The other outcomes represent 44.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.2% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 24.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mogren 1466; Berane 1281. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 14:00
Mogren
Elo 1466
vs
Berane
Elo 1281
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+186
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Mogren1466
Berane1281
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mogren
2Draws
0Berane
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
31%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.