How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manchester City U19, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.2% · Draw: 17.2% · Away win: 45.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: RB Leipzig U19 1721; Manchester City U19 1690. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Youth League · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 14:00
RB Leipzig U19
Elo 1721
vs
Manchester City U19
Elo 1690
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+31
Elo rating comparison
RB Leipzig U191721
Manchester City U191690
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—RB Leipzig U19
—Draws
—Manchester City U19
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
17%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
29%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.