How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Mesaimeer, at 47.7%. The other outcomes represent 52.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.3% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 47.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Shamal II 1363; Al Mesaimeer 1453. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Division · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 14:15
Al Shamal II
Elo 1363
vs
Al Mesaimeer
Elo 1453
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-89
Elo rating comparison
Al Shamal II1363
Al Mesaimeer1453
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Shamal II
—Draws
—Al Mesaimeer
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
33%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.