How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Estoril U23, at 39.6%. The other outcomes represent 60.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 39.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: União Leiria U23 1453; Estoril U23 1548. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Revelação U23 · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 15:00
União Leiria U23
Elo 1453
vs
Estoril U23
Elo 1548
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-94
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
União Leiria U231453
Estoril U231548
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0União Leiria U23
2Draws
0Estoril U23
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
25%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
39%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.