How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Səbail, at 64.7%. The other outcomes represent 35.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.7% · Draw: 19% · Away win: 16.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Səbail 1568; Cəbrayıl 1412. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Birinci Dasta · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 11:00
Səbail
Elo 1568
vs
Cəbrayıl
Elo 1412
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+156
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Səbail1568
Cəbrayıl1412
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Səbail
0Draws
0Cəbrayıl
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
Home
65%
Draw
19%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
37%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.