How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is MOIK, at 45.8%. The other outcomes represent 54.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.4% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 45.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zaqatala 1329; MOIK 1475. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Birinci Dasta · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 11:00
Zaqatala
Elo 1329
vs
MOIK
Elo 1475
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-145
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Zaqatala1329
MOIK1475
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Zaqatala
0Draws
2MOIK
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
24%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
35%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.