How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Be1 NFA, at 41.6%. The other outcomes represent 58.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.6% · Draw: 30.9% · Away win: 27.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Be1 NFA 1627; Atmosfera 1583. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1 Lyga · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 15:30
Be1 NFA
Elo 1627
vs
Atmosfera
Elo 1583
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+44
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Be1 NFA1627
Atmosfera1583
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Be1 NFA
0Draws
0Atmosfera
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
31%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
41%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.