How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Famalicão U23, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.1% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 49.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Penafiel U23 1509; Famalicão U23 1646. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Revelação U23 · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 17:00
Penafiel U23
Elo 1509
vs
Famalicão U23
Elo 1646
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-137
Elo rating comparison
Penafiel U231509
Famalicão U231646
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Penafiel U23
—Draws
—Famalicão U23
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
22%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
35%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.