How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Liverpool, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.7% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 47.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fenerbahçe 2166; Liverpool 2189. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 17:45
Fenerbahçe
Elo 2166
vs
Liverpool
Elo 2189
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-23
Elo rating comparison
Fenerbahçe2166
Liverpool2189
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Fenerbahçe
—Draws
—Liverpool
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
22%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
36%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.