How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PSV Eindhoven, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.2% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 34.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: PSV Eindhoven 2109; Club Brugge KV 2166. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 20:00
PSV Eindhoven
Elo 2109
vs
Club Brugge KV
Elo 2166
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-57
Elo rating comparison
PSV Eindhoven2109
Club Brugge KV2166
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—PSV Eindhoven
—Draws
—Club Brugge KV
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
34%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.