How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manchester City, at 48.3%. The other outcomes represent 51.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 48.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: RB Leipzig 2103; Manchester City 2331. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 20:00
RB Leipzig
Elo 2103
vs
Manchester City
Elo 2331
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-228
Elo rating comparison
RB Leipzig2103
Manchester City2331
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—RB Leipzig
—Draws
—Manchester City
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
21%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
35%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.