How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Arsenal, at 70.2%. The other outcomes represent 29.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 14.6% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 70.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Slavia Praha 2170; Arsenal 2330. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 20:00
Slavia Praha
Elo 2170
vs
Arsenal
Elo 2330
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-161
Elo rating comparison
Slavia Praha2170
Arsenal2330
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Slavia Praha
—Draws
—Arsenal
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
Home
15%
Draw
15%
Away
70%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
29%
Away
53%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.