How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Puntarenas FC, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.3% · Draw: 27.8% · Away win: 29.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Puntarenas FC 1641; San Carlos 1626. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 00:00
Puntarenas FC
Elo 1641
vs
San Carlos
Elo 1626
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+15
H2H (6)
4H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Puntarenas FC1641
San Carlos1626
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Puntarenas FC
2Draws
0San Carlos
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
28%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
45%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.