How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is LD Alajuelense, at 61.3%. The other outcomes represent 38.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.6% · Draw: 17.1% · Away win: 61.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Escorpiones Belén 1584; LD Alajuelense 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 02:00
Escorpiones Belén
Elo 1584
vs
LD Alajuelense
Elo 1814
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-230
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Escorpiones Belén1584
LD Alajuelense1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Escorpiones Belén
0Draws
2LD Alajuelense
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
17%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
37%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.