How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vasco da Gama U20, at 63.3%. The other outcomes represent 36.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.1% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 63.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Madureira U20 1522; Vasco da Gama U20 1912. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca U20 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Madureira U20
Elo 1522
2
-
3
Vasco da Gama U20
Elo 1912
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-390
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Madureira U201522
Vasco da Gama U201912
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Madureira U20
0Draws
6Vasco da Gama U20
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
Draw
21%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
36%
Away
47%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.