How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nsingizini Hotspurs, at 68.0%. The other outcomes represent 32.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 10.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nsingizini Hotspurs 1757; Ubombo Sugar 1496. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Nsingizini Hotspurs
Elo 1757
1
-
1
Ubombo Sugar
Elo 1496
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+261
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nsingizini Hotspurs1757
Ubombo Sugar1496
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Nsingizini Hotspurs
0Draws
0Ubombo Sugar
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
WRONG
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
39%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.