How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tabankulu, at 35.4%. The other outcomes represent 64.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.4% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 35.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tabankulu 1486; Ezulwini United 1540. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Tabankulu
Elo 1486
1
-
0
Ezulwini United
Elo 1540
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-54
H2H (5)
0H
4D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Tabankulu1486
Ezulwini United1540
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tabankulu
4Draws
1Ezulwini United
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
29%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
41%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.