How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paracatu, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.5% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 29.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paracatu 1548; Nacional AC MG 1501. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Mineiro - 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:00
Paracatu
Elo 1548
0
-
0
Nacional AC MG
Elo 1501
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+48
Elo rating comparison
Paracatu1548
Nacional AC MG1501
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Paracatu
—Draws
—Nacional AC MG
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
27%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
40%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.