Portland Timbers II vs Ventura County

MLS Next Pro · Monday, 26 Oct 2026 · 02:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portland Timbers II, at 46.2%. The other outcomes represent 53.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 46.2% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 24.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Portland Timbers II 1551; Ventura County 1549. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

MLS Next Pro · Monday, Oct 26 2026 · 02:00
Portland Timbers II
Elo 1551
0 - 1
Ventura County
Elo 1549
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W 4D 0L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
+2
H2H (8)
0H 8D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Portland Timbers II1551
Ventura County1549

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Portland Timbers II
8Draws
0Ventura County

8 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
46% conf. WRONG
Home
46%
@ 1.92
Draw
29%
@ 3.74
Away
25%
@ 3.17
Both Teams to Score
63% conf. WRONG
Yes
63%
@ 1.44
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf. WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
75%
@ 1.28
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf. CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.78
No
49%
Half-Time Result
45% conf. CORRECT
Home
36%
@ 2.40
Draw
45%
@ 2.40
Away
20%
@ 3.55
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf. WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.22
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf. WRONG
Yes
78%
@ 1.12
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf. WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.50
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf. CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.