How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kerkennah, at 44.1%. The other outcomes represent 55.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.1% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 29.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kerkennah 1521; BS Bouhajla 1454. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 13:30
Kerkennah
Elo 1521
1
-
0
BS Bouhajla
Elo 1454
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+68
Elo rating comparison
Kerkennah1521
BS Bouhajla1454
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kerkennah
—Draws
—BS Bouhajla
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
@ 2.22
Draw
26%
@ 2.76
Away
30%
@ 3.22
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.25
No
30%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.52
No
41%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 3.01
Draw
52%
@ 1.83
Away
18%
@ 4.01
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.54
No
44%
HT Over 1.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.51
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.