São Paulo U20 vs Palmeiras U20

Paulista - U20 · Monday, 26 Oct 2026 · 18:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Palmeiras U20, at 37.9%. The other outcomes represent 62.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 32.1% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 37.9%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: São Paulo U20 1896; Palmeiras U20 2012. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Paulista - U20 · Monday, Oct 26 2026 · 18:00
São Paulo U20
Elo 1896
2 - 3
Palmeiras U20
Elo 2012
FT HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Elo Advantage
-116

Elo rating comparison

São Paulo U201896
Palmeiras U202012

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—São Paulo U20
—Draws
—Palmeiras U20

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
38% conf. CORRECT
Home
32%
@ 2.72
Draw
30%
@ 2.59
Away
38%
@ 2.73
Both Teams to Score
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.74
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf. WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.37
No
35%
Double Chance X2
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.40
No
36%
Half-Time Result
50% conf. WRONG
Home
24%
@ 3.36
Draw
50%
@ 1.86
Away
25%
@ 3.41
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.46
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf. WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.31
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf. CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 2.06
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf. WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.