How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Erchim, at 62.8%. The other outcomes represent 37.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.8% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 16.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Erchim 1435; Ulaangom City 1308. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 08:00
Erchim
Elo 1435
5
-
1
Ulaangom City
Elo 1308
FT
HT 4-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+127
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Erchim1435
Ulaangom City1308
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Erchim
0Draws
0Ulaangom City
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
26%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
92%
No
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.