How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Carabobo FC, at 52.0%. The other outcomes represent 48.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 23.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Carabobo FC 1811; Deportivo La Guaira 1699. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 23:30
Carabobo FC
Elo 1811
3
-
1
Deportivo La Guaira
Elo 1699
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+112
H2H (6)
4H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Carabobo FC1811
Deportivo La Guaira1699
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Carabobo FC
2Draws
0Deportivo La Guaira
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
25%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
48%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.