How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fluminense U20, at 77.7%. The other outcomes represent 22.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 77.7% · Draw: 15.1% · Away win: 7.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fluminense U20 1804; Nova Iguaçu U20 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca U20 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 13:00
Fluminense U20
Elo 1804
3
-
0
Nova Iguaçu U20
Elo 1469
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+336
H2H (6)
6H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Fluminense U201804
Nova Iguaçu U201469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Fluminense U20
0Draws
0Nova Iguaçu U20
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
CORRECT
Home
78%
Draw
15%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
100%
No
0%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
41%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.