How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deren, at 44.8%. The other outcomes represent 55.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 44.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Central Stallions 1723; Deren 1809. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 08:00
Central Stallions
Elo 1723
3
-
3
Deren
Elo 1809
FT
HT 1-1
Elo rating comparison
Central Stallions1723
Deren1809
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Central Stallions
—Draws
—Deren
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
25%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
36%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.