How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Juventud, at 35.9%. The other outcomes represent 64.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.4% · Draw: 28.7% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Liverpool Montevideo 1740; Juventud 1661. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 23:00
Liverpool Montevideo
Elo 1740
2
-
0
Juventud
Elo 1661
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+79
H2H (7)
2H
4D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Liverpool Montevideo1740
Juventud1661
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Liverpool Montevideo
4Draws
1Juventud
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.03
Draw
29%
@ 3.26
Away
36%
@ 3.31
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.72
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.27
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.67
No
43%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
@ 2.64
Draw
50%
@ 2.12
Away
23%
@ 3.89
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.36
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.28
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.