How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CD Olimpia, at 81.0%. The other outcomes represent 19.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 81% · Draw: 12.3% · Away win: 6.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CD Olimpia 1844; Juticalpa 1365. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Nacional · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 01:30
CD Olimpia
Elo 1844
vs
Juticalpa
Elo 1365
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+479
H2H (5)
5H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
CD Olimpia1844
Juticalpa1365
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5CD Olimpia
0Draws
0Juticalpa
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
81% conf.
Home
81%
Draw
12%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
94% conf.
Yes
6%
No
94%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Half-Time Result
67% conf.
Home
67%
Draw
22%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.