How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Amtat FC, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.2% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 37.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Amtat FC 1461; Erchim 1435. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 08:00
Amtat FC
Elo 1461
vs
Erchim
Elo 1435
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+26
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Amtat FC1461
Erchim1435
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Amtat FC
0Draws
0Erchim
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
22%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
31%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
92% conf.
Yes
92%
No
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.