How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is BG Pathum United, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 26.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BG Pathum United 1870; Wofoo Tai Po 1805. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
AFC Champions League Two · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 12:15
BG Pathum United
Elo 1870
vs
Wofoo Tai Po
Elo 1805
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+64
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
BG Pathum United1870
Wofoo Tai Po1805
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4BG Pathum United
0Draws
0Wofoo Tai Po
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
37%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.