Marines vs Police

National Soccer League · Thursday, 05 Nov 2026 · 13:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Marines, at 46.7%. The other outcomes represent 53.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 46.7% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 27.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Marines 1573; Police 1575. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

National Soccer League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026 · 13:00
Marines
Elo 1573
vs
Police
Elo 1575
Home Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
-2

Elo rating comparison

Marines1573
Police1575

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Marines
—Draws
—Police

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
43%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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