How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Merreikh, at 58.6%. The other outcomes represent 41.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.7% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 58.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sunrise 1459; Al Merreikh 1703. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National Soccer League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 13:00
Sunrise
Elo 1459
vs
Al Merreikh
Elo 1703
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-244
Elo rating comparison
Sunrise1459
Al Merreikh1703
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sunrise
—Draws
—Al Merreikh
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
21%
Away
59%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
40%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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