How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Karama, at 47.7%. The other outcomes represent 52.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.7% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 47.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Jaish 1554; Al Karama 1717. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 13:00
Jaish
Elo 1554
vs
Al Karama
Elo 1717
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-163
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Jaish1554
Al Karama1717
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Jaish
0Draws
4Al Karama
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
28%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
40%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.