How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Faisaly FC, at 40.0%. The other outcomes represent 60.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 34.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Faisaly FC 1659; Al Diriyah 1722. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pro League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 17:00
Al-Faisaly FC
Elo 1659
vs
Al Diriyah
Elo 1722
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-62
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al-Faisaly FC1659
Al Diriyah1722
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al-Faisaly FC
1Draws
0Al Diriyah
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
26%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
38%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.