How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Fateh, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.4% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 28.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Fateh 1618; Al Riyadh 1649. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pro League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 17:00
Al-Fateh
Elo 1618
vs
Al Riyadh
Elo 1649
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-31
H2H (3)
1H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Al-Fateh1618
Al Riyadh1649
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Al-Fateh
0Draws
2Al Riyadh
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
36%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.