How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AC Milan, at 52.1%. The other outcomes represent 47.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.1% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 22.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AC Milan 2114; Ferencvarosi TC 2172. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 17:45
AC Milan
Elo 2114
vs
Ferencvarosi TC
Elo 2172
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-58
Elo rating comparison
AC Milan2114
Ferencvarosi TC2172
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AC Milan
—Draws
—Ferencvarosi TC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
25%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
43%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.