How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Levski Sofia, at 65.0%. The other outcomes represent 35.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 14%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Levski Sofia 2089; Jagiellonia 1932. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 17:45
Levski Sofia
Elo 2089
vs
Jagiellonia
Elo 1932
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+157
Elo rating comparison
Levski Sofia2089
Jagiellonia1932
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Levski Sofia
—Draws
—Jagiellonia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
Home
65%
Draw
21%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
37%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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