How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is HNK Hajduk Split, at 52.3%. The other outcomes represent 47.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.6% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 52.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1897; HNK Hajduk Split 2093. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 17:45
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Elo 1897
vs
HNK Hajduk Split
Elo 2093
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-196
Elo rating comparison
Lincoln Red Imps FC1897
HNK Hajduk Split2093
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lincoln Red Imps FC
—Draws
—HNK Hajduk Split
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
22%
Away
52%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
41%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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