How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Midtjylland, at 65.6%. The other outcomes represent 34.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.6% · Draw: 19% · Away win: 15.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Midtjylland 2212; Ajax 2070. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 17:45
FC Midtjylland
Elo 2212
vs
Ajax
Elo 2070
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+142
Elo rating comparison
FC Midtjylland2212
Ajax2070
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Midtjylland
—Draws
—Ajax
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
Home
66%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
40%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.