How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atlético Tucumán Res., at 38.2%. The other outcomes represent 61.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.2% · Draw: 31.1% · Away win: 30.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1494; Instituto Res. 1523. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 18:00
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Elo 1494
vs
Instituto Res.
Elo 1523
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-29
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Atlético Tucumán Res.1494
Instituto Res.1523
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Atlético Tucumán Res.
0Draws
0Instituto Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
31%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
45%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.